Most popular experts quotes
Electricians, barbers, gardeners, surgeons, tango dancers, are experts. Not economists.
On August 13, 2015, I predicted in my blog that Donald Trump had a 98 percent chance of winning the presidency based on his persuasion skills. A week earlier, the most respected political forecaster in the United States—Nate Silver—had put Trump's odds of winning the Republican nomination at 2 percent in his FiveThirtyEight.com blog.
People have always had this craving to have someone tell them the future. Long ago, kings would hire people to read sheep guts. There's always been a market for people who pretend to know the future. Listening to today's forecasters is just as crazy as when the king hired the guy to look at the sheep guts.
An expert is a man who makes his mistakes quietly.
An expert is someone who does everything else worse.
Expert advice is a great comfort, even when it's wrong.
Professionals built the Titanic; amateurs built the Ark.
Even when the experts all agree, they may well be mistaken.
The trouble with specialists is that they tend to think in grooves.
A leading authority is anyone who has guessed right more than once.
An expert is someone called in at the last minute to share the blame.
No man is a pure specialist without being in the strict sense an idiot.
The only thing worse than an expert is someone who thinks he's an expert.
An expert is a person who has made all the mistakes that can be made in a very narrow field.
EXPERTS Experts have their expert fun ex cathedra telling one just how nothing can be done.
To make a name for learning when other roads are barred, take something very easy and make it very hard.
The function of the expert is not to be more right than other people, but to be wrong for more sophisticated reasons.
An expert is like the bottom of a double boiler. It shoots off a lot of steam, but it never really knows what's cooking.
You can't always go by expert opinion. A turkey, if you ask a turkey, should be stuffed with grasshoppers, grit and worms.
An expert is somebody who is more than fifty miles from home, has no responsibility for implementing the advice he gives, and shows slides.
It is only about things that do not interest one that one can give a really unbiased opinion, which is no doubt the reason why an unbiased opinion is always valueless.
You must have the confidence to override people with more credentials than you whose cognition is impaired by incentive-caused bias or some similar psychological force that is obviously present. But there are also cases where you have to recognize that you have no wisdom to add—and that your best course is to trust some expert.